HomeUpsets
Biggest Historical Upsets
Final games ranked by the winning team's stored pregame win probability. Scores are home–away. Chronological backtests use only information available before that game. Backtests that predate the verified JV cleanup are withheld until refreshed. These probabilities are OregonSportsRanking analytics, not official OSAA predictions.
2013-09-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-31.9% chanceSouth Eugene win
2013-09-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-31.9% chanceWilsonville win
2013-09-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-11.9% chanceHillsboro win
2013-09-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-71.9% chanceThurston win
2013-09-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-31.9% chanceHood River Valley win
2013-09-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-61.9% chanceBrookings-Harbor win
2013-09-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-21.9% chanceBeaverton win
2013-09-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-21.9% chanceCentral Catholic win
2013-11-05Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-25.1% chanceCottage Grove win
2013-09-12Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-37.4% chanceUmatilla win
2013-11-02Chronological backtest
CE
CentralAway
Final (home–away) 2-110.0% chanceTillamook win
2013-10-17Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-110.5% chanceCentennial win
2013-10-18Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-210.8% chanceLa Grande win
2013-10-23Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-211.4% chanceElmira win
2013-10-22Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-111.4% chanceCascade Christian win
2013-11-09Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-112.0% chanceSt. Mary's, Medford win
2013-09-19Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-212.0% chanceLincoln win
2013-11-05Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-212.0% chanceSilverton win
2013-11-09Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-112.0% chancePhilomath win
2013-10-25Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-212.3% chanceSummit win
2013-10-29Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-112.9% chanceKlamath Union win
2013-10-17Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-113.0% chanceKlamath Union win
2013-09-26Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-213.3% chanceReynolds win
2013-09-18Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-015.1% chanceMilwaukie / Milwaukie Acad. of the Arts win
2013-09-25Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-516.0% chanceIllinois Valley win
2013-09-11Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-116.0% chancePutnam win
2013-09-26Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-317.1% chanceBenson win
2013-10-21Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-218.0% chanceChurchill win
2013-11-05Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-318.6% chanceCentury win
2013-09-11Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-119.1% chanceTillamook win
2013-09-12Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-319.3% chanceMarist win
2013-10-07Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-319.5% chanceCatlin Gabel win
2013-10-11Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-019.7% chanceRoosevelt win
2013-10-28Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-219.8% chanceWestside Christian win
2013-09-05Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-220.0% chanceRidgeview win
2013-11-02Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-120.2% chanceNewberg win
2013-11-02Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-120.4% chanceSheldon win
2013-09-19Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-420.7% chanceColumbia Christian win
2013-09-07Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 3-520.8% chanceNorth Salem win
2013-10-15Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-121.0% chancePutnam win
2013-10-08Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-221.2% chanceLincoln win
2013-09-21Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-421.3% chanceSt. Mary's, Medford win
2013-09-26Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 2-321.4% chanceWilsonville win
2013-10-15Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 4-321.5% chanceClackamas win
2013-11-02Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-321.8% chanceForest Grove win
2013-11-05Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-221.8% chancePhilomath win
2013-10-03Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-322.0% chanceCanby win
2013-10-01Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-422.1% chanceMcMinnville win
2013-10-09Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 0-122.5% chanceAloha win
2013-09-27Chronological backtest
Final (home–away) 1-222.7% chanceNorth Salem win
| Date | Match | Final (home–away) | Underdog winner | Pregame chance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-09-03 | | 1-3 | South Eugene | 1.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-03 | | 1-3 | Wilsonville | 1.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-03 | | 0-1 | Hillsboro | 1.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-03 | | 1-7 | Thurston | 1.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-03 | | 1-3 | Hood River Valley | 1.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-03 | | 0-6 | Brookings-Harbor | 1.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-03 | | 0-2 | Beaverton | 1.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-03 | | 1-2 | Central Catholic | 1.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-05 | | 1-2 | Cottage Grove | 5.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-12 | | 2-3 | Umatilla | 7.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-02 | CE Central at | 2-1 | Tillamook | 10.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-17 | | 2-1 | Centennial | 10.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-18 | | 1-2 | La Grande | 10.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-23 | | 1-2 | Elmira | 11.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-22 | | 2-1 | Cascade Christian | 11.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-09 | | 0-1 | St. Mary's, Medford | 12.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-19 | | 0-2 | Lincoln | 12.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-05 | | 1-2 | Silverton | 12.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-09 | | 0-1 | Philomath | 12.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-25 | | 0-2 | Summit | 12.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-29 | | 0-1 | Klamath Union | 12.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-17 | | 2-1 | Klamath Union | 13.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-26 | | 1-2 | Reynolds | 13.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-18 | | 1-0 | Milwaukie / Milwaukie Acad. of the Arts | 15.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-25 | | 2-5 | Illinois Valley | 16.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-11 | | 0-1 | Putnam | 16.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-26 | | 2-3 | Benson | 17.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-21 | | 1-2 | Churchill | 18.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-05 | | 2-3 | Century | 18.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-11 | | 2-1 | Tillamook | 19.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-12 | | 1-3 | Marist | 19.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-07 | | 0-3 | Catlin Gabel | 19.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-11 | | 1-0 | Roosevelt | 19.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-28 | | 0-2 | Westside Christian | 19.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-05 | | 1-2 | Ridgeview | 20.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-02 | | 0-1 | Newberg | 20.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-02 | | 0-1 | Sheldon | 20.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-19 | | 1-4 | Columbia Christian | 20.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-07 | | 3-5 | North Salem | 20.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-15 | | 2-1 | Putnam | 21.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-08 | | 1-2 | Lincoln | 21.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-21 | | 0-4 | St. Mary's, Medford | 21.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-26 | | 2-3 | Wilsonville | 21.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-15 | | 4-3 | Clackamas | 21.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-02 | | 0-3 | Forest Grove | 21.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-11-05 | | 1-2 | Philomath | 21.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-03 | | 0-3 | Canby | 22.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-01 | | 1-4 | McMinnville | 22.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-10-09 | | 0-1 | Aloha | 22.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2013-09-27 | | 1-2 | North Salem | 22.7% | Chronological backtest |