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Historical upset · 2013
Thurston at Redmond
September 3, 2013
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Redmond
5A
Home – Away
1–7
Thurston
6A
Thurston won with a 1.9% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–0
Home 95.1%Draw 3.0%Away 1.9%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.