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Historical upset · 2013
Hillsboro at Liberty
September 3, 2013
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Liberty
5A
Home – Away
0–1
Hillsboro
6A
Hillsboro won with a 1.9% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–0
Home 95.1%Draw 3.0%Away 1.9%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.
This backtested probability predates the verified JV cleanup and is pending a separate refresh.