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Historical upset · 2013
Marist at Lebanon
September 12, 2013
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Lebanon
5A
Home – Away
1–3
Marist
5A
Marist won with a 19.3% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–1
Home 70.9%Draw 9.9%Away 19.2%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.