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Historical upset · 2013
Elmira at Junction City
October 23, 2013
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Junction City
4A
Home – Away
1–2
Elmira
4A
Elmira won with a 11.4% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–1
Home 79.3%Draw 9.3%Away 11.4%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.