HomeUpsets
Biggest Historical Upsets
Final games ranked by the winning team's stored pregame win probability. Chronological backtests use only information available before that game. These probabilities are OregonSportsRanking analytics, not official OSAA predictions.
Verified JV games have been removed and historical ranks recalculated. Backtested probabilities for affected seasons were calculated before that cleanup and are pending a separate refresh.
2014-10-22Chronological backtest
Final 0-12.1% chanceCrater win
2014-09-30Chronological backtest
Final 5-12.5% chanceSt. Helens win
2014-10-25Chronological backtest
Final 2-13.6% chanceMazama win
2014-10-18Chronological backtest
Final 1-05.3% chanceCanyonville Christian Acad. win
2014-10-21Chronological backtest
Final 1-05.8% chanceNorth Eugene win
2014-11-05Chronological backtest
Final 0-15.8% chanceGrants Pass win
2014-09-26Chronological backtest
Final 2-06.3% chanceSalem Acad. win
2014-10-13Chronological backtest
Final 1-06.6% chanceMcLoughlin win
2014-09-22Chronological backtest
Final 2-47.7% chanceCrosshill Christian win
2014-09-22Chronological backtest
Final 2-37.9% chancePhoenix win
2014-11-08Chronological backtest
Final 0-18.3% chanceGrants Pass win
2014-09-29Chronological backtest
Final 0-19.5% chanceMcKay win
2014-09-30Chronological backtest
Final 1-010.1% chanceLa Salle Prep win
2014-10-25Chronological backtest
Final 1-411.2% chanceMcLoughlin win
2014-09-29Chronological backtest
Final 1-211.3% chanceMcMinnville win
2014-10-06Chronological backtest
Final 1-012.0% chancePhoenix win
2014-09-30Chronological backtest
Final 7-312.3% chanceCulver win
2014-11-01Chronological backtest
Final 0-112.4% chanceLebanon win
2014-10-23Chronological backtest
Final 0-113.0% chanceTualatin win
2014-10-28Chronological backtest
Final 0-113.1% chanceBend win
2014-10-17Chronological backtest
Final 1-213.1% chanceAshland win
2014-09-09Chronological backtest
Final 2-313.2% chanceMarshfield win
2014-10-04Chronological backtest
Final 0-113.6% chanceSpringfield win
2014-09-18Chronological backtest
Final 2-313.7% chanceForest Grove win
2014-10-15Chronological backtest
Final 1-313.9% chanceThurston win
2014-10-13Chronological backtest
Final 4-314.0% chanceDamascus Christian win
2014-10-21Chronological backtest
Final 2-114.1% chanceLebanon win
2014-09-11Chronological backtest
Final 0-215.1% chancePutnam win
2014-10-25Chronological backtest
Final 3-215.2% chanceLakeview win
2014-09-05Chronological backtest
Final 1-315.4% chanceNorth Clackamas Christian win
2014-10-07Chronological backtest
Final 0-115.7% chanceSpringfield win
2014-09-30Chronological backtest
Final 1-015.7% chanceAshland win
2014-11-05Chronological backtest
Final 1-215.9% chanceLa Salle Prep win
2014-10-10Chronological backtest
Final 2-416.3% chanceRiverdale win
2014-09-18Chronological backtest
Final 1-216.5% chanceMcMinnville win
2014-09-10Chronological backtest
Final 0-116.5% chanceWillamette win
2014-10-09Chronological backtest
Final 0-216.6% chanceSunset win
2014-11-08Chronological backtest
Final 1-217.2% chanceGrant win
2014-11-05Chronological backtest
Final 3-417.2% chanceClackamas win
2014-09-11Chronological backtest
Final 0-117.5% chanceLakeridge win
2014-09-23Chronological backtest
Final 2-017.8% chanceSherwood win
2014-09-23Chronological backtest
Final 1-018.4% chancePutnam win
2014-10-09Chronological backtest
Final 7-118.6% chancePortland Christian win
2014-09-11Chronological backtest
Final 2-1218.8% chancePacific / Bandon win
2014-11-01Chronological backtest
Final 1-518.8% chanceSouth Medford win
2014-10-16Chronological backtest
Final 1-019.3% chanceLa Salle Prep win
2014-10-20Chronological backtest
Final 2-319.3% chanceAloha win
2014-09-20Chronological backtest
Final 1-419.4% chanceCascade Christian win
2014-10-23Chronological backtest
Final 4-119.5% chanceCanyonville Christian Acad. win
2014-09-29Chronological backtest
Final 1-019.7% chancePhoenix win
| Date | Match | Final | Underdog winner | Pregame chance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-10-22 | | 0-1 | Crater | 2.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-30 | | 5-1 | St. Helens | 2.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-25 | | 2-1 | Mazama | 3.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-18 | | 1-0 | Canyonville Christian Acad. | 5.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-21 | | 1-0 | North Eugene | 5.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-11-05 | | 0-1 | Grants Pass | 5.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-26 | | 2-0 | Salem Acad. | 6.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-13 | | 1-0 | McLoughlin | 6.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-22 | | 2-4 | Crosshill Christian | 7.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-22 | | 2-3 | Phoenix | 7.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-11-08 | | 0-1 | Grants Pass | 8.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-29 | | 0-1 | McKay | 9.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-30 | | 1-0 | La Salle Prep | 10.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-25 | | 1-4 | McLoughlin | 11.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-29 | | 1-2 | McMinnville | 11.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-06 | | 1-0 | Phoenix | 12.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-30 | | 7-3 | Culver | 12.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-11-01 | | 0-1 | Lebanon | 12.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-23 | | 0-1 | Tualatin | 13.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-28 | | 0-1 | Bend | 13.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-17 | | 1-2 | Ashland | 13.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-09 | | 2-3 | Marshfield | 13.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-04 | | 0-1 | Springfield | 13.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-18 | | 2-3 | Forest Grove | 13.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-15 | | 1-3 | Thurston | 13.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-13 | | 4-3 | Damascus Christian | 14.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-21 | | 2-1 | Lebanon | 14.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-11 | | 0-2 | Putnam | 15.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-25 | | 3-2 | Lakeview | 15.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-05 | | 1-3 | North Clackamas Christian | 15.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-07 | | 0-1 | Springfield | 15.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-30 | | 1-0 | Ashland | 15.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-11-05 | | 1-2 | La Salle Prep | 15.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-10 | | 2-4 | Riverdale | 16.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-18 | | 1-2 | McMinnville | 16.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-10 | | 0-1 | Willamette | 16.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-09 | | 0-2 | Sunset | 16.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-11-08 | | 1-2 | Grant | 17.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-11-05 | | 3-4 | Clackamas | 17.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-11 | | 0-1 | Lakeridge | 17.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-23 | | 2-0 | Sherwood | 17.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-23 | | 1-0 | Putnam | 18.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-09 | | 7-1 | Portland Christian | 18.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-11 | | 2-12 | Pacific / Bandon | 18.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-11-01 | | 1-5 | South Medford | 18.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-16 | | 1-0 | La Salle Prep | 19.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-20 | | 2-3 | Aloha | 19.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-20 | | 1-4 | Cascade Christian | 19.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-10-23 | | 4-1 | Canyonville Christian Acad. | 19.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2014-09-29 | | 1-0 | Phoenix | 19.7% | Chronological backtest |