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Historical upset · 2013
Churchill at Marist
October 21, 2013
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Marist
5A
Home – Away
1–2
Churchill
5A
Churchill won with a 18.0% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 2–0
Home 67.6%Draw 14.4%Away 18.0%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.