Girls Soccer · 2026
Biggest Historical Upsets
Final games ranked by the winning team’s valid stored pregame or chronological backtest probability. Scores are home–away. Backtests are retrospective analytics, not live picks.
2025-10-23Chronological backtest
Final 1–24.4% · Phoenix
2025-10-21Chronological backtest
Final 1–27.2% · Hidden Valley
2025-10-17Chronological backtest
Final 0–19.0% · Ridgeview
2025-09-22Chronological backtest
Final 0–19.8% · Lake Oswego
2025-10-28Chronological backtest
Final 3–410.1% · Sprague
2025-09-12Chronological backtest
Final 5–312.4% · Irrigon
2025-09-25Chronological backtest
Final 1–012.5% · La Salle Prep
2025-09-18Chronological backtest
Final 0–214.2% · Sherwood
2025-10-20Chronological backtest
Final 1–314.5% · Central Catholic
2025-09-04Chronological backtest
Final 1–214.7% · Lakeridge
2025-08-29Chronological backtest
Final 0–415.5% · Nyssa
2025-09-23Chronological backtest
Final 1–415.6% · Siuslaw
2025-09-04Chronological backtest
Final 0–116.1% · Sherwood
2025-09-30Chronological backtest
Final 0–216.6% · South Medford
2025-09-30Chronological backtest
Final 0–116.8% · Parkrose
2025-10-08Chronological backtest
Final 0–116.9% · Hillsboro
2025-10-20Chronological backtest
Final 2–117.2% · Roseburg
2026-09-29Stored pregame
S/
Springfield / Mohawk
Final 0–117.3% · Springfield / Mohawk
2025-09-02Chronological backtest
Final 1–018.4% · Seaside
2025-09-11Chronological backtest
Final 0–118.7% · Rogue River
2025-09-25Chronological backtest
NM
North Marion / St. Paul
Final 3–519.9% · North Marion / St. Paul
2025-09-02Chronological backtest
M/
Molalla / ColtonNM
North Marion / St. PaulFinal 4–620.2% · Molalla / Colton
2025-10-15Chronological backtest
Final 1–020.5% · Marshfield
2025-10-09Chronological backtest
Final 0–120.6% · Mazama
2025-09-16Chronological backtest
S/
Springfield / MohawkFinal 1–820.7% · Churchill
2025-10-11Chronological backtest
Final 0–221.2% · Churchill
2025-11-01Chronological backtest
Final 2–321.3% · Mountainside
2025-09-18Chronological backtest
Final 0–221.4% · Liberty
2025-11-04Chronological backtest
Final 1–221.5% · Canby
2026-09-30Stored pregame
Final 0–121.5% · Sisters
2025-11-04Chronological backtest
Final 1–321.8% · La Salle Prep
2025-09-08Chronological backtest
Final 1–221.9% · Century
2025-10-06Chronological backtest
Final 5–221.9% · Cleveland
2025-10-24Chronological backtest
Final 1–222.0% · Madras
2025-10-07Chronological backtest
Final 4–222.3% · West Salem
2025-09-04Chronological backtest
NE
North Eugene / Triangle Lake
Final 1–222.4% · North Eugene / Triangle Lake
2025-09-30Chronological backtest
Final 2–423.2% · Lake Oswego
2025-09-24Chronological backtest
Final 1–023.4% · Willamette
2025-09-16Chronological backtest
Final 0–123.5% · Southridge
2025-10-28Chronological backtest
Final 2–123.5% · Crook County
2025-10-01Chronological backtest
Final 0–323.5% · North Medford
2025-09-30Chronological backtest
G/
Gervais / KennedyS/
Sheridan / WillaminaFinal 0–423.8% · Gervais / Kennedy
2025-11-04Chronological backtest
Final 2–324.0% · Brookings-Harbor
2025-09-03Chronological backtest
Final 2–024.0% · Marshfield
2025-09-06Chronological backtest
E/
Echo / StanfieldFinal 0–524.1% · Echo / Stanfield
2025-09-09Chronological backtest
Final 0–824.2% · Douglas
2025-10-10Chronological backtest
Final 1–224.3% · Creswell
2025-08-29Chronological backtest
Final 0–324.9% · Phoenix
2025-10-02Chronological backtest
SM
St. Mary's AcademyFinal 2–025.0% · St. Mary's Academy
2025-09-30Chronological backtest
R/
Rainier / Clatskanie / KnappaFinal 1–025.2% · Seaside
Upset board50 games
| Date | Match | Final | Underdog winner | Pregame chance | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 | | 1–2 | Phoenix | 4.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-21 | | 1–2 | Hidden Valley | 7.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-17 | | 0–1 | Ridgeview | 9.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-22 | | 0–1 | Lake Oswego | 9.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-28 | | 3–4 | Sprague | 10.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-12 | | 5–3 | Irrigon | 12.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-25 | | 1–0 | La Salle Prep | 12.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-18 | | 0–2 | Sherwood | 14.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-20 | | 1–3 | Central Catholic | 14.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-04 | | 1–2 | Lakeridge | 14.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-08-29 | | 0–4 | Nyssa | 15.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-23 | | 1–4 | Siuslaw | 15.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-04 | | 0–1 | Sherwood | 16.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-30 | | 0–2 | South Medford | 16.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-30 | | 0–1 | Parkrose | 16.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-08 | | 0–1 | Hillsboro | 16.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-20 | | 2–1 | Roseburg | 17.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2026-09-29 | S/ Springfield / Mohawk at | 0–1 | Springfield / Mohawk | 17.3% | Stored pregame |
| 2025-09-02 | | 1–0 | Seaside | 18.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-11 | | 0–1 | Rogue River | 18.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-25 | NM North Marion / St. Paul at | 3–5 | North Marion / St. Paul | 19.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-02 | M/ Molalla / Colton at NM North Marion / St. Paul | 4–6 | Molalla / Colton | 20.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-15 | | 1–0 | Marshfield | 20.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-09 | | 0–1 | Mazama | 20.6% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-16 | S/ Springfield / Mohawk | 1–8 | Churchill | 20.7% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-11 | | 0–2 | Churchill | 21.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-11-01 | | 2–3 | Mountainside | 21.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-18 | | 0–2 | Liberty | 21.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-11-04 | | 1–2 | Canby | 21.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2026-09-30 | | 0–1 | Sisters | 21.5% | Stored pregame |
| 2025-11-04 | | 1–3 | La Salle Prep | 21.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-08 | | 1–2 | Century | 21.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-06 | | 5–2 | Cleveland | 21.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-24 | | 1–2 | Madras | 22.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-07 | | 4–2 | West Salem | 22.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-04 | NE North Eugene / Triangle Lake at | 1–2 | North Eugene / Triangle Lake | 22.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-30 | | 2–4 | Lake Oswego | 23.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-24 | | 1–0 | Willamette | 23.4% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-16 | | 0–1 | Southridge | 23.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-28 | | 2–1 | Crook County | 23.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-01 | | 0–3 | North Medford | 23.5% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-30 | G/ Gervais / Kennedy at S/ Sheridan / Willamina | 0–4 | Gervais / Kennedy | 23.8% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-11-04 | | 2–3 | Brookings-Harbor | 24.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-03 | | 2–0 | Marshfield | 24.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-06 | E/ Echo / Stanfield at | 0–5 | Echo / Stanfield | 24.1% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-09 | | 0–8 | Douglas | 24.2% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-10 | | 1–2 | Creswell | 24.3% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-08-29 | | 0–3 | Phoenix | 24.9% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-10-02 | SM St. Mary's Academy | 2–0 | St. Mary's Academy | 25.0% | Chronological backtest |
| 2025-09-30 | R/ Rainier / Clatskanie / Knappa at | 1–0 | Seaside | 25.2% | Chronological backtest |