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Historical upset · 2016
Newberg at McKay
September 6, 2016
Final · Oregon boys soccer
McKay
6A
Home – Away
1–2
Newberg
6A
Newberg won with a 16.8% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–1
Home 74.4%Draw 8.9%Away 16.7%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.