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Historical upset · 2025
Nelson at Century
September 25, 2025
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Century
6A
Home – Away
1–4
Nelson
6A
Nelson won with a 17.8% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 2–1
Home 70.0%Draw 12.2%Away 17.8%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.