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Historical upset · 2016
Philomath at Elmira
October 29, 2016
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Elmira
4A
Home – Away
1–3
Philomath
4A
Philomath won with a 12.5% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 2–0
Home 76.3%Draw 11.1%Away 12.6%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.