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Historical upset · 2018
Douglas at South Umpqua
October 4, 2018
Final · Oregon boys soccer
South Umpqua
3A/2A/1A
Home – Away
1–0
Douglas
3A/2A/1A
South Umpqua won with a 3.2% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 0–3
Home 3.2%Draw 5.8%Away 91.0%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.