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Historical upset · 2018
Ontario at McLoughlin
September 15, 2018
Final · Oregon boys soccer
McLoughlin
4A
Home – Away
1–2
Ontario
4A
Ontario won with a 7.5% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–1
Home 87.1%Draw 5.5%Away 7.4%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.