Back to 2016 upsets

Historical upset · 2016
Reynolds at David Douglas
October 10, 2016
Final · Oregon boys soccer

David Douglas
6A
Home – Away
2–3

Reynolds
6A
Reynolds won with a 9.3% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 2–1
Home 83.1%Draw 7.6%Away 9.3%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.