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Historical upset · 2018
Stayton at Cascade
October 23, 2018
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Cascade
4A
Home – Away
1–0
Stayton
4A
Cascade won with a 0.2% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 0–5
Home 0.2%Draw 1.2%Away 98.6%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.
This backtested probability predates the verified JV cleanup and is pending a separate refresh.