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Historical upset · 2025
North Marion at Cascade
September 30, 2025
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Cascade
4A
Home – Away
1–2
North Marion
4A
North Marion won with a 21.0% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 2–1
Home 65.5%Draw 13.4%Away 21.1%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.