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Historical upset · 2025
McLoughlin at Ontario
September 26, 2025
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Ontario
4A
Home – Away
1–3
McLoughlin
3A/2A/1A
McLoughlin won with a 18.6% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 2–1
Home 70.2%Draw 11.1%Away 18.7%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.