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Historical upset · 2018
Marshfield at Cottage Grove
September 20, 2018
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Cottage Grove
4A
Home – Away
1–3
Marshfield
4A
Marshfield won with a 17.4% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 2–0
Home 69.7%Draw 12.9%Away 17.4%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.