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Historical upset · 2025
Ashland at Caldera
August 29, 2025
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Caldera
5A
Home – Away
0–6
Ashland
5A
Ashland won with a 20.5% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–1
Home 69.2%Draw 10.3%Away 20.5%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.