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Historical upset · 2015
Elmira at Sweet Home
September 29, 2015
Final · Oregon boys soccer

Sweet Home
4A
Home – Away
1–2

Elmira
4A
Elmira won with a 16.4% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–1
Home 72.8%Draw 10.9%Away 16.3%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.