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Historical upset · 2017
Tillamook at Sweet Home
October 7, 2017
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Sweet Home
4A
Home – Away
1–0
Tillamook
4A
Sweet Home won with a 1.6% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 0–3
Home 1.6%Draw 3.6%Away 94.8%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.
This backtested probability predates the verified JV cleanup and is pending a separate refresh.