Historical upset · 2017

Illinois Valley at Rogue River

September 20, 2017

Final · Oregon boys soccer

Rogue River

3A/2A/1A

Home – Away

1–4

Illinois Valley

3A/2A/1A

Illinois Valley won with a 16.1% predicted chance.

Prediction at the time

Backtested prediction

Predicted score 3–2

Home 76.4%Draw 7.5%Away 16.1%

This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.