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Historical upset · 2019
Springfield at Thurston
September 19, 2019
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Thurston
5A
Home – Away
1–0
Springfield
5A
Thurston won with a 15.5% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 1–2
Home 15.5%Draw 13.5%Away 71.0%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.