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Historical upset · 2019
Illinois Valley at Rogue River
September 18, 2019
Final · Oregon boys soccer
Rogue River
3A/2A/1A
Home – Away
4–6
Illinois Valley
3A/2A/1A
Illinois Valley won with a 18.2% predicted chance.
Prediction at the time
Backtested prediction
Predicted score 3–1
Home 73.3%Draw 8.5%Away 18.2%
This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.