Historical upset · 2017

Dayton at Gervais

September 25, 2017

Final · Oregon boys soccer

Gervais

3A/2A/1A

Home – Away

2–3

Dayton

3A/2A/1A

Dayton won with a 15.8% predicted chance.

Prediction at the time

Backtested prediction

Predicted score 2–1

Home 72.7%Draw 11.5%Away 15.8%

This prediction was reconstructed chronologically using only earlier completed games, with same-day results excluded. Model: Combined V2.